China Taiwan Catalyst for the Greatest Depression

[CPT Savajo]

When China moves to claim Taiwan by force will that be the catalyst that crashes global stock markets igniting the greatest depression ever seen in the United States? Possibly, and here's why.

As China reduces the amount of US Treasuries they own that will probably be an indicator that they're getting close to moving on Taiwan. When they get to $250 billion or less is when they'll likely be ready to blockade the island. When the naval blockade becomes real and it's not a drill Beijing and Washington will let the economic sanctions fly.

The severity of the sanctions will depend if the US gets directly involved. If the US gets directly involved we will see the greatest depression inside of the USA that's ever been witnessed in the history of the country. Even if the US doesn't get directly involved we may still witness such an event.

Due to sanctions the retail sector in America will get absolutely destroyed and it will ripple into other sectors of the overall economy. When the distribution warehouses begin to run dry of goods coming from China big box stores like Wal-Mart, Target, shopping malls, dollar stores, Lowe's, Home Depot, etc will begin laying off employees en mass.

I predict that you'll go into a Wal-Mart or a Lowe's store at a date in the future and the manufactured side will be bare. Nothing but empty shelves because most of the goods come from China. But before that happens the people will sense that something is wrong as the prices at Wal-Mart and Lowe's keep getting revised upwards because they'll know just how low stock is at their respective distribution warehouses and that information will not be shared with the public. Sensing the rising prices the people will opt to shop at flea markets, thrift stores, online websites like Facebook Market Place/Amazon/Ebay, and pawn shops to find manufactured goods that can't be purchased at big box stores as shelves go bare. As a result such stores will raise their prices significantly because by that time the people will know what's going on. While all that is going on the stock market will drop faster than a rock in a wet paper bag, probably a knee-jerk reaction caused by the severity of sanctions or direct involvement.

[texassapper]

Thats exactly why Trump has moved to tarriff everything. Hes trying to break our addiction to cheap Asian shit before the shooting kicks off over Taiwan. One way pr another China is going to move on Taiwan before 2030. they need 20 years to rehab their image after the invasion in time for their 100th anniversary in 2049. Just like they needed 20 years after Tianeman to get the Olympics.

Strategery!!!

[Schwarzer Ritter]

Yep, Trump's trying to fix what became a massive advantage for the commies under Biden. It was Obama and Biden who said those jobs are never coming back.

[69in2it69]

Idiotcracy! Can you do math? You can't hire a fucking high school kid to flip burgers for less than 16-18/hr. Foreign manufacturing is far, far below that in labor cost, including logistics/shipping, etc... A tariff is a SALES TAX placed on the importer that will be passed on to the consumer.


So, let's say wages are a whopping 4/hr USD overseas, tariff it at 100% and it's still half what that high school kid gets to spit on your big mac. Manufacturing is NEVER coming back and anyone with any intelligence doesn't want it to.

[txdot-guy]

Read about the silicon shield. An invasion of Taiwan would be catastrophic for the global chip market.

https://www.financialcontent.com/art...istory-of-tsmc

Despite Chinese propaganda over Taiwan it’s to their benefit to recruit taiwanese workers and technology transfers so they can build their own chip manufacturing to rival samsung and tsmc than taking over Taiwan.

Something that the US was trying to do under Biden via the CHIPS and Science Act. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CHIPS_and_Science_Act


If you want to watch the documentary you can see it here.

[Jacky S]

It will be difficult for China to form a blockade on Taiwan with their ships at the bottom of the straight.

[texassapper]

Originally Posted by 69in2it69

Idiotcracy! Can you do math? You can't hire a fucking high school kid to flip burgers for less than 16-18/hr. Foreign manufacturing is far, far below that in labor cost, including logistics/shipping, etc... A tariff is a SALES TAX placed on the importer that will be passed on to the consumer.


So, let's say wages are a whopping 4/hr USD overseas, tariff it at 100% and it's still half what that high school kid gets to spit on your big mac. Manufacturing is NEVER coming back and anyone with any intelligence doesn't want it to.

I like how you think flipping burgers is manufacturing.

[CPT Savajo]

Originally Posted by Schwarzer Ritter

Yep, Trump's trying to fix what became a massive advantage for the commies under Biden. It was Obama and Biden who said those jobs are never coming back.

I thought it was Nixon aka Tricky Dick who opened up the doors for trade with China. Seems like a long term plan that's finally coming to fruition.

[CPT Savajo]

Originally Posted by 69in2it69

A tariff is a SALES TAX placed on the importer that will be passed on to the consumer.

Manufacturing is NEVER coming back and anyone with any intelligence doesn't want it to.

Manufacturing should come back to the US but I don't think it is to any major degree. But they did start a green industry. Americans need jobs other than shelf stocker, burger flipper, and service related jobs. When America exported manufacturing jobs we exported our brains.

[CPT Savajo]

Originally Posted by txdot-guy

Read about the silicon shield. An invasion of Taiwan would be catastrophic for the global chip market.

https://www.financialcontent.com/art...istory-of-tsmc

Despite Chinese propaganda over Taiwan it’s to their benefit to recruit taiwanese workers and technology transfers so they can build their own chip manufacturing to rival samsung and tsmc than taking over Taiwan.

Something that the US was trying to do under Biden via the CHIPS and Science Act.

It would be bad for global chip markets but I don't think China cares, they want more real estate and they see Taiwan as their property. I believe that TSMC is pushing an initiative to do semiconductor manufacturing in Arizona.

[CPT Savajo]

Originally Posted by Jacky S

It will be difficult for China to form a blockade on Taiwan with their ships at the bottom of the straight.

Lol and that's where many of them will go but it will be as much a drone war (aerial and sea drones) as with war ships and jets.

[Schwarzer Ritter]

Opened the doors is not the same as giving away the store. It actually required leadership to take note and not just sign a trade deal for sake of a deal.

[ICU 812]

Check out this video on the China/Tiewan issue:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_GJJVAQNOWM

However, it is my unclassified, ill-informed strategic assessment that Tiewan will not be China's next extension-of-influence-by-force. I think their next colonial effort will be Myanmar. China has had a long game plan to surround India by forcibly seizing several of the smaller nations bordering Innia in the Himalayas. Myanmar shares long borders with both China and India and has a long coastline on the Indian Ocean.

Colonizing Mynamar, as they have Tibet, Bhutan and Nepal would give China access to the Indian Ocean.

[NiceGuy53]

Originally Posted by 69in2it69

Idiotcracy! Can you do math? You can't hire a fucking high school kid to flip burgers for less than 16-18/hr. Foreign manufacturing is far, far below that in labor cost, including logistics/shipping, etc... A tariff is a SALES TAX placed on the importer that will be passed on to the consumer.


So, let's say wages are a whopping 4/hr USD overseas, tariff it at 100% and it's still half what that high school kid gets to spit on your big mac. Manufacturing is NEVER coming back and anyone with any intelligence doesn't want it to.

I'd like to know who is paying high school kids 16 to 18 dollars an hour to flip burgers. The entry level hourly wage at McDonalds in Texas is about 9 to 10 dollars an hour. 16 to 18 dollars an hour is about what managers make.

[Mplay]

Originally Posted by NiceGuy53

I'd like to know who is paying high school kids 16 to 18 dollars an hour to flip burgers. The entry level hourly wage at McDonalds in Texas is about 9 to 10 dollars an hour.

Dumbasses in California who don’t understand economics.