Rasmussen’s Top Pollster Predicts a Trump Landslide

[1blackman1]

When has Rasmussen been wrong?

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid

there's nothing "biased" about Rasmussen and Lichtman will be wrong. for the second time.

Rasmussen is considered a lean-right poll and has not been included in 538's polling aggregate due to that bias.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...n-538-polling/

Yesterday a poll in Iowa had Harris +3. I don't believe it.

The most accurate polls over time come from the NY Times/Sienna.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/u...iena-poll.html

[adav8s28]

Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

Rasmussen is considered a lean-right poll and has not been included in 538's polling aggregate due to that bias.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...n-538-polling/

Yesterday a poll in Iowa had Harris +3. I don't believe it.

The most accurate polls over time come from the NY Times/Sienna.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/u...iena-poll.html

+1

Good post Speedracer. From the NYTimes link:

Both candidates have multiple pathways available to capture the 270 Electoral College votes required to claim victory, assuming that polls are not dramatically underestimating the support for one or the other. In such a close race, even a small systemic polling error could tip the contest decisively in either direction.

But there are signs that late deciders are breaking for Ms. Harris: Among the 8 percent of voters who said they had only recently decided on their vote, she wins the group by 55 percent to 44 percent. (With Election Day nearing, 11 percent of voters remained undecided or persuadable, down from 16 percent about a month ago.)

The polling comes as more than 70 million Americans have already voted, according to the University of Florida Election Lab.

Roughly 40 percent of those surveyed by the Times/Siena poll across the seven states said they had voted. Ms. Harris wins those voters by a margin of eight percentage points, the polls found. Mr. Trump has an edge among voters who say they are highly likely to vote but have not yet cast a ballot.

Totally different from what Rasmussen predicts.

[TravelingHere]

Latest from ABC/538, DJT for the win:

https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1853430560716185738

[Yssup Rider]

Why don’t you post the ABC link rather than the spin on X?

[TravelingHere]

Originally Posted by Yssup Rider

Why don’t you post the ABC link rather than the spin on X?

Here you go..
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/

Odds are from the top of the page and
battleground graphic is from the middle of the page

[Yssup Rider]

Yeah, that indicates a dead heat. Maybe that’s why the spin on X was so exciting for you.

Make sure you get out and vote early!

[Why_Yes_I_Do]

Originally Posted by Yssup Rider

Why don’t you post the ABC link rather than the spin on X?

Why don't you post the link to the Always Been Clinton (ABC) version?

[eyecu2]

I think that the closeness of the 538 polls will show that this is gonna be a long day for both teams. I'd say that the betters are wrong on percentages and also going to be surprised at the end results. I'd hope that the outcome will be more decisive, but it's likely going to be just more fodder for wrong-doings.

Who wins PA will take the rest of the it in my opinion.

[Salty Again]

Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid

baahahahaaaaaa

Rasmussen’s Top Pollster Predicts a Trump Landslide

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/saraha...slide-n2647179


With just two days until one of the most critical elections in U.S. history, Americans are holding their breath, wondering if the next POTUS will bring change or destroy the country further.


The presidential race has been close for the most part, with Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump going neck-and-neck throughout the entire campaign season. However, just days before votes begin to be calculated, a new poll shows Trump winning in a landslide.


Rasmussen’s head pollster made a striking prediction about the winner of the 2024 election.


Mark Mitchell suggested that Trump will take a significant lead nationally and among critical battleground states, positioning him to win in a landslide.


“What you’re hearing out there is that the polls are close, and I think that’s wrong,” he told Breitbart News. “I think the polls, on average, show a strong Trump win, and my polls taken independently show that as well.”


Mitchell predicted a significant Trump landslide victory that would mirror Ronald Reagan’s historic win against Jimmy Carter in 1980. He also pointed out that most people “don’t care who Kamala Harris is.”


The pollster credited a “major political realignment” as his reasoning, pointing to Trump’s ability to outperform in the polls. Mitchell seemed sure that the former president wouldn’t suddenly lose his momentum in the polls this close to Election Day and predicted that Trump would shift to the right of the polls in many if not all, swing states.


“I think the pollsters are having a hard time keeping up with that, us included. Party [affiliation] means a lot less than whether you support Trump or Harris,” Mitchell said, adding that people care about the Biden Administration but pointed out that it has been “deeply unpopular.”


Mitchell dismissed several polls that show Harris in the lead. He suggested that Trump’s performance has improved since 2020 and other election cycles, saying he is “locked in at a Trump plus two national popular votes.”


As a result, if Trump outperforms his previous national vote and in the battleground states, “that means Trump sweeps the swing states—a big win.”

... And THERE it is! ... ...

#### Salty

[ICU 812]

Originally Posted by eyecu2

I think that the closeness of the 538 polls will show that this is gonna be a long day for both teams. I'd say that the betters are wrong on percentages and also going to be surprised at the end results. I'd hope that the outcome will be more decisive, but it's likely going to be just more fodder for wrong-doings.

Who wins PA will take the rest of the it in my opinion.

Turned out to be over pretty quickly as I recalle it.

[ICU 812]

Duplicate post

[DEAR_JOHN]

Originally Posted by ICU 812

Turned out to be over pretty quickly as I recalle it.

It was over as soon as Trump won GA, NC, and PA. Three east coast states, however nobody wanted to call it to keep people tuned in. I kept tuned in, however I was wishing I was at a watch party with three of our Trump haters just to see what a honest to goodness nervous breakdown looked like.

[biomed1]

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