Biden's getting blown apart and Warren's feasting on the remains body parts

[Tiny]

Exhibit 1: Real Clear Politics Democratic Nomination Polling:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...tion-6730.html

Prior to the slug fest over the Whistleblower, which kicked off around September 20, Biden had consistently led Warren in polls by double digit averages. In the last six polls completed after September 20, Warren led in four and Biden led in three. Only the Economist/YouGov poll was conducted after the Ukraine shit really hit the fan, and it shows Warren with a 6 point lead.

Exhibit 1.5: Predictit.org Betting Site, Winner of 2020 Democratic Nominiation:

https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ial-nomination

Collectively bettors now believe Warren has a 51% probability of getting the nomination, versus 21% for Joe Biden. [Aside: Andrew Yang at 12 cents is a great short. Does anyone here believe he has a 12% chance?]

Exhibit 2: Predictit.org Betting Site, Winner of 2020 U.S. Presidential Election:

https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ntial-election

Click on the 90 day chart. Since the Whisteblower became news, Trump has slipped from a 42% or 43% probability of winning to 40%. Warren has come up from around 31% or 32% to 36%. Biden's odds have been slipping really since early August, and he's gone from around 21% to 13%.

Exhibit 3: Real Clear Politics Trump vs Biden Polling

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...iden-6247.html

The Ukraine fiasco may actually be helping Trump versus Biden. The last two polls show Biden only winning by 1% in once instance and losing to Trump by 4% in the second. The second poll was done by Rasmussen, which does tend to be overly optimistic for Republican candidates. Biden was ahead by double digit averages in prior polls.

Exhibit 4: Real Clear Politics Trump vs Warren Polling
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...rren-6251.html

Warren has historically led Trump by single digits. There's only been one poll, conducted on 9/21 to 9/23, since. You'd suspect that Warren's numbers will go up and Trump's down as additional polling data becomes available, after the Whisteblower got into the news.



What does this mean? Biden's being hurt worse than Trump by what's going on. It's too early to tell whether Trump will come out the winner. He's making Biden, the one candidate who looked like he could blow Trump out of the water, unviable, and making Warren the most likely Democratic candidate. This could be better for Trump, in that he'll likely be running against a weaker candidate. It could be worse because the impeachment hearings and the press about asking foreign governments to investigate the Bidens will hurt him.

I'd prefer Biden 1000X over Warren, so don't like the way this is developing. Based on the polls, if the election were held today, Warren might have a little better than a 50% chance of beating Trump, and that number will grow as the impeachment process goes on. Warren is this country's worst nightmare. Her proposed policies towards taxes, spending and carbon emissions would hurt the economy in a big way.

[Unique_Carpenter]

What does this mean??
Zombies will feed on zombies.
Nothing new.

[WTF]

Originally Posted by Unique_Carpenter

What does this mean??
Zombies will feed on zombies.
Nothing new.

That is universally true in regards to all political parties.

[Chung Tran]

good to see a thread with real information, and no name-calling meanderings.. I will post before that happens, unfortunately realclearpolitics would probably put the name-calling meandering probability above 90%.

I would like to short Yang's probability.. do you know his ticker symbol?

I know the election is 13 months out, but Warren vs. Trump, it is. so yes, Warren will keep rising in the polls, and Trump will not be removed by impeachment. that is real clear politics from my POV

[Tiny]

Originally Posted by Chung Tran

I would like to short Yang's probability.. do you know his ticker symbol?

You can open an account at predictit.org. They won't let you wager over $850 on a single position. I think the way it works if you bet $0.89, you'd get back $1.00 if Yang isn't the nominee, based on prices right now. You'd do it on this page,

https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ial-nomination

I believe you can get out of the position anytime you want, as if you were trading a stock or a futures contract.

[The_Waco_Kid]

it's been real clear from the start that the DNC did not want "Corn Pop" Biden to be the nominee. when they sic their press minions like MSNBC and ABC on "Corn Pop" it's real clear they want Warren to be the nominee. those news stories interestingly enough dealt with .. wait for it .. Hunter Biden's business deals. it doesn't take a rocket scientist to understand that Hunter Biden wouldn't have gotten those deals without "Corn Pop's" political connections as Vice President.

as i've said before, you have to wonder why Biden didn't run in 2016 as the sitting VP, which is usually considered a position of strength to succeed an outgoing president, even if recent elections results have not been kind to VP's running to succeed a President. G H W Bushie succeeded but failed to win re-election and Gore failed to succeed Slick Willie Blythe.

Nixon failed in his bid to succeed Ike in no small part due to that new-fangled thing known as TV. many think Nixon's substance was better than Kennedy's but he looked haggard with a 5 o'clock shadow.

i don't buy in to the stated reason that Biden's son dying was the main driver for him deciding not to run in 2016. i think Obama told him not to run in favor of Clinton. his son dying was just lucky .. yeah i said lucky as a "reason" not to run. Clinton aligns closer to Obama's socialist bullshit so that's who Obama who controlled the DNC completely at the time hand picked as his successor. and from a certain point of view the emergence of Bernie was good for what Obama wanted in Clinton by forcing her even more far left.

it's real clear Warren is the person the DNC wants because they are certain a woman will defeat Trump by 60 zillion votes because we all know all women hate Trump and no woman voted for Trump in 2016 and no women will vote for Trump in 2020.

bahahahahaaaaa


it's real clear that didn't happen in 2016 and won't happen in 2020. women did not rally to Clinton and they won't rally to Warren. Warren is all wrong to go up against Trump. she's a mouthy firebrand who Trump will fluster in a debate and make her have a tantrum in front of millions of viewers all while Trump just stands there and gloats at her. her far leftist agenda will alienate the core of Democrats men and women and galvanize Republican voters to turn out en masse for Trump.

the Democrats needed one candidate to rally behind and Warren's only qualification for that is she a woman. after that, she's a full of shit bombastic big gov socialist bitch who comes off almost as unlikable as Clinton.

i think that's real clear ....


BAHHAHHAAAAA

[winn dixie]

Originally Posted by Chung Tran

good to see a thread with real information, and no name-calling meanderings.. I will post before that happens, unfortunately realclearpolitics would probably put the name-calling meandering probability above 90%.

I would like to short Yang's probability.. do you know his ticker symbol?

I know the election is 13 months out, but Warren vs. Trump, it is. so yes, Warren will keep rising in the polls, and Trump will not be removed by impeachment. that is real clear politics from my POV

This post brought to you by lying chung...
Guess he's gotten sensitive since i embarrassed his ass the other day!

[bambino]

Originally Posted by Chung Tran

good to see a thread with real information, and no name-calling meanderings.. I will post before that happens, unfortunately realclearpolitics would probably put the name-calling meandering probability above 90%.

I would like to short Yang's probability.. do you know his ticker symbol?

I know the election is 13 months out, but Warren vs. Trump, it is. so yes, Warren will keep rising in the polls, and Trump will not be removed by impeachment. that is real clear politics from my POV

Oh, how sneaky of you.accusing others of you’re own behavior. Chung Troll. Truth be told you insult people as much as anyone. Your lack of self awareness rivals Yssup’s. But Biden was toast from his pathetic announcement in Philadelphia. 200 people showed up..His performance since then has been dreadful. I don't need polls to see that. I still think Bloomberg might jump in. Warren can’t win.

[winn dixie]

Beware of the hildebeast.... w/{jaws theme gaining volume]

[Tiny]

Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid

she's a full of shit bombastic big gov socialist bitch who comes off almost as unlikable as Clinton.

That's true, in your and my minds at least. But there's a huge chunk of America that loves her. If she gets the nomination it's going to be a tight race, or if the economy goes bad it's going to be hers to lose.

[winn dixie]

Big Ballin' T will trash little pocahontas!

[bambino]

Originally Posted by Tiny

That's true, in your and my minds at least. But there's a huge chunk of America that loves her. If she gets the nomination it's going to be a tight race, or if the economy goes bad it's going to be hers to lose.

No Mid West support. No AA support. No Wall St support. No way.

[The_Waco_Kid]

Originally Posted by Tiny

That's true, in your and my minds at least. But there's a huge chunk of America that loves her. If she gets the nomination it's going to be a tight race, or if the economy goes bad it's going to be hers to lose.

what huge chunk? a bunch of young idealistic idiots who will become conservatives when they "grow up"?

Warren will turn off the bulk of Democrats and even if all the millennial/Gen Z retards screaming for socialism come out en masse (here's poking a stick in yer eye Ecky9.5k) it won't be nearly enough to offset the bulk of the current core of the Democratic party's voting block who won't support a radical leftist like Warren or Bernie.

one thing the 2016 Republican race should teach the DemonRetards is don't fuck with Trump. everyone who tried to directly match Trump's rhetoric got destroyed, like Jebbo Bushretard. Cruz got away with it mainly because he championed many of the same themes Trump did like securing the border, cracking down on illegal immigration and Trade. Kasich did ok even as a distant third by not doing that.

i'll guarantee everyone in this forum that whoever the DNC nominee is, they will make that same mistake. especially Warren or Bernie. And Biden perhaps the worse of all because the guy is a gaffe reel idiot who clearly can't think on his feet. i don't always agree with Chung but when i do, it's that Biden will get wiped off the floor by Trump in a debate and so will Warren or Bernie. watching Bernie is amusing because the only thing that senile old goat says is "Trump is a racist!". he did it repeatedly in the early debates and so did Burrito O'Dork. it makes them look not only racist but UN-American (here's poking a stick in yer UN-American eyes mystictroll)

[Austin Ellen]

They are over playing their hand with women. Nobody factors in the married women who do not want their husbands to go down the Kavanaugh road. Women are keenly aware now that one false accusation of rape or sexual assault could destroy their lives. The Dems do not believe in innocent until proving guilty. And that puts fear in the heart of many married women, irregardless of color or stature.

[biggeorge565]

"In the last six polls completed after September 20, Warren led in four and Biden led in three." This statement has me confused. When I went to school, 4 + 3 = 7, not six. Has math changed along with everything else??