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Old 03-31-2020, 09:38 PM   #106
dilbert firestorm
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isn't fortelling death kinda sick?
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Old 03-31-2020, 09:44 PM   #107
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Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm View Post
isn't fortelling death kinda sick?
Hell yeah it's sick, but it's all relative. Foretelling death is nothing compared to the stuff Solemate62's into. I can't read through to the end of some of his reviews without running to the bathroom to barf.

Give me a number Dilbert
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Old 03-31-2020, 09:49 PM   #108
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Teeny Tiny, sheesh, you sound like my girlfriend when she's trying to give me a complex about my penis.

Sure, fine to revise, we shouldn't reach peak death rate for a couple of weeks so you're not gaming my game. What's your new number?

323,001
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Old 03-31-2020, 09:54 PM   #109
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323,001
Gracias senor
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Old 03-31-2020, 10:01 PM   #110
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Quote:
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isn't fortelling death kinda sick?
Kinda MORBID.
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Old 03-31-2020, 10:04 PM   #111
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Hell yeah it's sick, but it's all relative. Foretelling death is nothing compared to the stuff Solemate62's into. I can't read through to the end of some of his reviews without running to the bathroom to barf.

Give me a number Dilbert



85,000
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Old 03-31-2020, 10:38 PM   #112
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Gracias senor
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Old 03-31-2020, 10:59 PM   #113
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323,001



so it's 323,001 to < 63k.


if you say so


BAHHHAHAAAAAA
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Old 04-01-2020, 01:32 AM   #114
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We have one year and three quarters left until D day. Or V day? Anyway.

As per the NPR article, 100,000 in mere months. So by the last day of NEXT year, it's going to be closer to a quarter million people! Way passed your measly 63K. You want to stick with that? For 21 months?

If teeny Tiny allows me to revert back to my comical guess of over (The Price is Right rules, remember) 260K. Afterall, he wants to revise his guess. Whatcha say, Tiny? I'll go ahead and say . . .

260,001 + 1 + your 63K = 323,001

Closest without going over. The "Greatest Generation" (you bet your ass I put it quotes), and their older booming offspring, plus those variable deaths due to pre existing immuno defiencies will be dispassionately erased. Cataclysmic? This will be studied for generations.
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so it's 323,001 to < 63k.


if you say so


BAHHHAHAAAAAA
Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid View Post
following your body count. so what is it?


> 323,001 ? less?

you call it goombah


BAHHHAHAAAAAA

X is going to be > than 323,001
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Old 04-01-2020, 11:16 AM   #115
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9500 and the Fascist DPST's are just basking in joy over the numbers they are projecting- Thinking (relative term for DPST's) it will defeat Trump in favor of the senile idiot Biden.

go ahead and enjoy - while u can - DPST's!
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Old 04-01-2020, 02:13 PM   #116
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My prediction is by EOY 2021 we'll have 70,000 ventilators sitting around in the box, never opened.
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Old 04-01-2020, 02:54 PM   #117
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Default Model and Death Guess Game Update

March 31, 2020
Predicted Deaths from Covid-19 in the United States of America

University of Washington IHME Model: 93,765 (1)

The Waco Kid Italian Extrapolation: greater than 71,037 (2)

South Korean Extrapolation: greater than 1,056 (3)

(1) Assumes four types of social distancing occur throughout the United States. Deaths projected to August 4, 2020

(2) Covid-19 deaths to date in Italy increased by the ratio of the population of the USA (327.2 million) to Italy (60.5 million), or 5.4X

(3) Covid-19 deaths to date in South Korea increased by the ratio of the population of the USA (327.2 million) to South Korea (51.5 million), or 6.4X


Death Game Estimates, to 12/31/2021:

Friendly Fred: 50,000
Dilbert Firestorm: 80,000
Dr. Anthony Fauci: 150,000 (4)
Dr. Deborah Birx: 172,000 (4)
Tiny: 260,000
eccieuser9500: 323,001
Dr. James Lawler: 480,000
adav8s28: 1,569,600

(4) average of high and low estimates

The daily death rate in Italy is slowing.
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Old 04-01-2020, 03:02 PM   #118
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41,806
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Old 04-02-2020, 02:16 PM   #119
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Quote:
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41,806
You could end up being right.
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Old 04-02-2020, 02:21 PM   #120
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Case mortality rate estimates are dropping.

Add the chloroquine therapy effect - that should help .


The revising data and rate estimates indicate a disease with higher infectivity - but comparable case mortality to influenza A.

Fascist DPST's - weeping as the numbers improve. That much less to blame on Trump!
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