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The Political Forum Discuss anything related to politics in this forum. World politics, US Politics, State and Local.

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Old 05-07-2020, 07:54 PM   #16
dilbert firestorm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid View Post
how can a dull butter knife have an edge?




BAHHHAAAAAAA

ftfy!!!!
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Old 05-08-2020, 07:01 AM   #17
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Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm View Post
you left out kennedy and johnston. both were 1 term presidents.
They did not run for reelection to a 2nd full term. 2 of the last 6 presidents that ran for reelection lost.
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Old 05-08-2020, 07:28 AM   #18
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As much as you can trust polls this early in the game (which I don't)...

https://news.yahoo.com/bidens-edge-e...000336671.html

I am a firm believer that you can easily add 10 points for Trump in any given poll because of the unfairness of the lying lamestream media.

As we learned in 2016, polls have a way of making fools of everyone. Even Speedy.
Most US polls go on the basis of a proportion of certain amounts of Democrats, Republicans, and other/non-affiliated likely voters...typically skewed slightly toward the Dems over the GOP, and sample using those proportions. However, in recent times, that has been a wash...

https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/p...filiation.aspx

If polls are still using outdated models for population sampling, the polls may be off by that oversampling of Dems.

If this Reuters/Ipsos poll is to be believed, the DNC has to seriously consider ways to not let Biden get the nomination.
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Old 05-08-2020, 07:29 AM   #19
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They did not run for reelection to a 2nd full term. 2 of the last 6 presidents that ran for reelection lost.
Both guys who lost the second terms where nice guys....nice guys finish last.
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Old 05-08-2020, 08:01 AM   #20
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Both guys who lost the second terms where nice guys....nice guys finish last.
They were. I thought Carter was one of the worst presidents in our history but his work since leaving office has been commendable. And Daddy Bush was one of the most honorable people to hold the office of POTUS.

https://millercenter.org/president/c...the-presidency
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Old 05-08-2020, 08:04 AM   #21
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SR - Agreed on above !!!
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Old 05-08-2020, 08:08 AM   #22
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Originally Posted by SecretE View Post
Most US polls go on the basis of a proportion of certain amounts of Democrats, Republicans, and other/non-affiliated likely voters...typically skewed slightly toward the Dems over the GOP, and sample using those proportions. However, in recent times, that has been a wash...

https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/p...filiation.aspx

If polls are still using outdated models for population sampling, the polls may be off by that oversampling of Dems.

If this Reuters/Ipsos poll is to be believed, the DNC has to seriously consider ways to not let Biden get the nomination.
I find polls at the national level to be rather meaningless when 5-7 states will determine the outcome of the 2020 election.

DONALD TRUMP LEADS JOE BIDEN BY TWO POINTS ACROSS SIX KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES: POLL

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trum...s-poll-1502514

Every poll done thus far indicates what I've been saying for a long time -- the 2020 presidential election will be close.
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Old 05-08-2020, 11:10 AM   #23
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I have no idea who will win or how close it will be but damn, this is going to be one very interesting election.


I think there is "more could change in the coming months" than at any time in my memory. Who will be punished and who rewarded at the ballot box for refusing to open their economies or opening only to see a second wave?


Will Democrats suffer at all from what we have learned and will learn in the coming months from the Durham investigation? Does anything matter beyond "we must get rid of Trump even if we have to defend the indefensible"? Stay tuned.
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Old 05-08-2020, 04:50 PM   #24
Austin Ellen
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I agree.




Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX View Post
They were. I thought Carter was one of the worst presidents in our history but his work since leaving office has been commendable. And Daddy Bush was one of the most honorable people to hold the office of POTUS.

https://millercenter.org/president/c...the-presidency
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Old 05-08-2020, 05:31 PM   #25
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Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX View Post
They did not run for reelection to a 2nd full term. 2 of the last 6 presidents that ran for reelection lost.

That is true that they did not run for re-election, but the fact remains, they are one termers.


I believe calvin coolidge was another one termer. he did not run for re-election too.


so, we have 5 one term presidents, 2 of which lost re-election.
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Old 05-08-2020, 05:40 PM   #26
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Both guys who lost the second terms where nice guys....nice guys finish last.

i do not consider john mccain to be a nice guy. i don't think he ever intended to win the race.
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