Quote:
Originally Posted by HDGristle
If no one has accurate estimates then why put any faith in yours?
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It fits the scary doomsday narrative. That's why.
I don't know that China has 10x the Amt of the US in gold or 1/2 the amount. The problem with China is that if FIAT currency is the play, and you think that dollars will switch to Yuan in trading, it just won't. The reason is for China's closed trading system and market manipulation. If it was just about gold per household, they still lose due to the Amt of population per Tonne. Hell India would be even in worse shape.
In any event, if there was no paper market currency and only metals, China would be a wasteland of despair and starvation due to land size and lack of farming. They cannot produce enough food to feed themselves and nobody will help them until they implode and then come over to take them over like Japan tried in the beginning 1930-1940s.
Xi is on a tightrope. We are too, but we produce enough to feed our population. The same reason we subsidize farmers etc, is to keep that advantage. I do think there will be some financial shocks in the coming year for reasons like tariffs, layoffs, and stock market bubbles...but not to the point of 1929. Despite all the rusing about the bugaloo and CW2.