Quote:
Originally Posted by friendly fred
How can you have such poor reading comprehension?
I'm obviously not talking about cumulative deaths next year, but the yearly total...which if we figure out how to treat this thing could easily be like a regular flu season with a similiar IFR in the second year - since this is a NOVEL coronavirus. What we call the flu was much deadlier until we learned to treat it over the years, you simpleton.
Did you get your ass beat in school alot?
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Ooohh, I see. So your whole idiotic argument is based on the bad assumption that we will be able to treat this next year better than we treat the flu.
One enormous "IF" argument.
Tell me, idiot - what makes you think we will be able to treat this like we treat the flu? We don't actually "treat" the flu. We have partially-effective vaccines for it. But once, you get it, you pretty much have to tough it out. Medications have limited effectiveness. That's why 30K-50K die of flu every year.
There is NO guarantee we will have a vaccine for CV-19. There is NO guarantee we will develop a treatment - since we haven't even got one for the flu.
The flu only kills 30K-50K each year because only a small percentage (maybe 20%) of the population gets the flu to begin with. But it appears that CV-19 is going to affect the majority of the population - 50% or more. So, not only does it have a much higher death rate (over 1.5%), it will be spread to far more people.
If antibody immunity does not last more than a few months, we may lose more than 150K EVERY year until there is a vaccine.
That is a worst case scenario, but it is NOT a highly unlikely one.